Carkod’s workplace

Decision theory: perfect information

Posted by: carkod on: October 5, 2008

Perfect information

An individual with perfect information knows before the decision that a state of nature is going to happen, the best choice would be the maximum of each state of nature (each row ei), this is usually denoted by Mi. Afterwards, we calculate the expected value, under the name of expected value on perfect information (EVPI).From the previous example, we have:

And in order to find the value of perfect information just subtract expected value of perfect information to expected value of the decision (the ultimate decision).

Leave a Reply

Welcome!

This is a personal blogsite. Posts are not exempt from mistakes, so please report if you found any. I can also answer your questions about the topics I write. Thank you, and enjoy!

Calendar

October 2008
M T W T F S S
« Sep    
 12345
6789101112
13141516171819
20212223242526
2728293031  

a